Questions galore about the real target of the Uzbek suicide bomber from Russia

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An Islamic State recruit from Central Asia was chosen as a potential assassin because he was able to more easily acquire a Russian passport due to the region’s historical ties to the former Soviet bloc.

It can be inferred from broader concurrent circumstances that the suicide bomber en route to India via the Russian Federation was tasked with attempting to assassinate India’s Prime Minister-elect Narendra Modi. Only his assassination would deserve such an international conspiracy, apparently with the involvement of so many parties abroad. The plans to assassinate Narendra Modi in revenge for the alleged insult to the Prophet by a minor BJP apparatchik, as claimed by the would-be assassin, is a singularly unconvincing motive for the plot. Prime Minister Modi ensured that BJP members responsible for irresponsible statements were promptly punished. Given the record of assassinations of foreign leaders by major governments, including the United States, the former USSR, Britain and France alone, one cannot rule out the possibility that one of them was involved in the plot uncovered by the Russian FSB.
The murder of any other Indian political leader, excluding the Chief Minister of Uttar Pradesh, Adityanath Yogi, would not bring about the deadly and momentous consequences that the Modi of Narendra would have hastened. The person deemed the main agent behind India’s bid for economic and military power would have been deposed and the country plunged into a civil war of incalculable proportions. Having a Khalistan terrorist carry out the murder, which was close to a possibility in January 2022, would have set swathes of India ablaze, but the assassination by an Islamic jihadist guarantees a self-destructive implosion the full length and breadth from India. Nothing could be better designed to cause a severe setback to contemporary India’s accelerating rise in international rankings on several indices.
A 1975 US Senate report listed five national leaders who had been successfully eliminated by the CIA, including the particularly gruesome murder of Patrice Lumumba of the Congo in 1961. However, the committee report did not mention the murder of Salvador Allende of the Chile in 1973. Both countries were then plunged into decades of utter chaos and gloomy desolation. The actual occasions of successful attempts and eliminations of national leaders and others by the US CIA number in the hundreds and Fidel Castro alone was the subject of 654 assassination attempts. The executions of Saddam Hussein in Iraq and Muammar Gaddafi in Libya are just the most recent examples in a long list. There is much speculation about the unexpected disappearance of Indian pioneer physicist Homi Bhabha and Prime Minister Lal Bahadur Shastri and the highly suspicious circumstances of Prime Minister Indira Gandhi’s assassination. It had infuriated US President Richard Nixon and, significantly, caused Henry Kissinger to take very severe note of his refusal to comply with threats and flattery regarding the creation of Bangladesh. Far Eastern Economic Review journalist Lawrence of Lifschultz, who investigated the assassination of Bangladeshi Prime Minister Sheikh Mujibur Rahman and virtually his entire clan on August 15, 1975, is convinced the CIA was complicit. A Bangladeshi colonel accused of involvement in the Dhaka bloodbath later resurfaced as head of the BBC’s Bengali-language service.
The obvious winners of such a plot would clearly be Pakistan and China and both have loose assets across India which provide abundant local support to make such an attempt. The risk for Pakistan is that it may result in all-out war with India and a dark journey into the unknown. An assassination in which she would be involved and her role impossible to conceal would constitute an excessive casus belli. This is how the Serbian dark hand brought about the calamitous First World War by assassinating the heir apparent to the Austrian throne, Archduke Ferdinand. In its current state of economic and military disarray, Pakistani threats of nuclear retaliation against Indian military retaliation for such a blatant act are probably insufficient to dissuade India from delivering hammer blows to it. In the case of China, there are already attempts to derail India on many levels with its enormous economic and political penetration of India, effectively appropriating the political leaders of India’s major political parties. But involvement in the assassination of the Indian prime minister would indefinitely burden China’s ability to reach a favorable deal with India using other means at its disposal that would not incur high political costs. . It would also galvanize growing opposition to its aspirations among countries in the Indo-Pacific region and in effect strengthen the US hand in Taiwan due to political expediency.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi is proving to be a tough customer, as his foreign minister’s somewhat surprisingly robust commentary on a succession of issues affecting the United States underscores. India’s studious refusal to join NATO’s military campaign against Russia with an economic boycott is surely testy and it has also evidently needled Washington’s London ally, the most outspoken supporter of the fight against Russia all the way on the minor issue of Ukraine’s NATO membership. India has also made a habit of delivering sour retorts to Washington’s unwarranted fabrications of India’s religious persecution and alleged media restrictions by invoking the proverbial idiom of the pot calling the black kettle. The recent hyperactivity of the US State Department and US intelligence agencies to mobilize US media and US universities to vilify India more vehemently is another indicator of Washington’s annoyance and evidence of its connections. two-sided with India, while protesting against its good intentions. Nothing would be more gratifying for US authorities than to smuggle a Russian-speaking assassin with a Russian passport into India to blow up Prime Minister Narendra Modi. It would surely be extremely difficult for any Indian government to persist in its bonhomie with Vladimir Putin’s Russia, which seems to last through thick and thin, including its growing closeness to China. More generally, India’s haters might have correctly assumed that Narendra Modi’s recent countermeasures against India’s political opposition, which appeared to be gaining ground against the BJP, made their success in the national general election less and less plausible. of 2024.
An ISIS recruit from Central Asia was chosen as a potential assassin because he was able to acquire a Russian passport more easily due to the region’s historical ties to the former Soviet bloc and also less likely to be subject to strict rules. Immigration control at an Indian port. Former U.S. Senator Richard Black, a senior military officer and Vietnam War veteran, has alleged that CIA support for ISIS has continued despite full knowledge of its horrific rights abuses. of man. These egregious crimes included the beheading of innocent people and the subjection of Yazidi women and girls to sexual slavery and their mass public auction.
Turkey’s association with the training of the Islamic State suicide bomber is no surprise and President Recep Tayipp Erdogan’s own son was implicated with it by Syrian Deputy Foreign Minister Bashar Jaafari. He alleged that he helped President Erdogan’s son transfer weapons to ISIS and facilitate his income from seized oil assets, thereby benefiting himself as well. The CIA’s periodic action against ISIS is simply the routine double game it plays around the world with myriad terrorist organizations, a record backed by its relationship with al-Qaeda, which was once useful for expel the former USSR from Afghanistan. Only willful naivety will lead anyone to believe that the continuing network of cynical collaboration between fanatical terrorists in the Middle East and Pakistan, with Turkey as a key location for murderous plots, has not remained intact. Much research is available to confirm this inference.

Dr. Gautam Sen has taught international political economy at the London School of Economics and Political Science for over two decades.

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